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Bouncing Balls on Pegs

A binomial distribution B(n, p) counts successes in n independent trials, each with success probability p. Its expected value is np and its variance is np(1-p).

In the picture

  1. Top brass peg: the first left-or-right bounce point
  2. Steel ball at the peg: one independent trial with two outcomes
  3. Vertical slot at the bottom: one possible total number of successes
  4. Tallest middle pile: the most likely total, close to np
  5. Shorter side pile: a total farther from np, showing spread

Examples

  • Flipping a coin ten times and counting heads
  • Taking ten free throws and counting baskets

Quiz: Bouncing Balls on Pegs (Age 18)

  1. In the notation B(n, p), what does p represent?

    • The probability of success on each trial
    • The total number of successes
    • The number of independent trials
  2. For a binomial distribution B(n, p), what is the expected number of successes?

    • n(1 - p)
    • np(1 - p)
    • np
  3. For a binomial distribution B(n, p), what is the variance?

    • sqrt(np(1 - p))
    • np(1 - p)
    • np

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Maths, Age 18